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Why I Hate Suburb

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have stayed stubbornly high even as financing costs doubled in under two years. The reason is supply. A seller who bought in 2021 at a three percent rate has nowhere affordable to go if they list today, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. That measure being at a historical extreme does not automatically produce a correction. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.

Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. A score of 760 or above typically qualifies for the best rate tier most lenders offer. If your score has room to improve, give yourself three to six months to work on it before you begin in earnest.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent whether recent comparable sales support the price you are offering.

Budget two to four percent of the purchase price for closing costs, on top of your down payment. First-time buyers often do not see the full closing cost picture until the Closing Disclosure arrives three days before settlement. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate before you make any offers, so you can plan your cash position accurately.

Real estate is illiquid. Transaction costs, agent commissions, and closing fees mean you typically need three to five years just to break even on a purchase. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.

Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. The market does not wait for the ideal moment, and neither should buyers who have done the work. Start by browsing current homes for sale and market resources to build a realistic picture of your options.